AA 3183 · PWM → CLT

departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 9:20 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at PWM that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3183 · PWM → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?