tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3221 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3221 · BNA → PHL

departs 11:31 AM CT · arrives 2:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.