AA 3233 · CLT → MCI

departs 12:25 PM ET · arrives 1:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.53 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3233 · CLT → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?