AA 324 · DFW → RNO

departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±6 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RNO?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
22%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

RNO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 324 · DFW → RNO

Odds over time

How late will it get to RNO?