Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 324 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 324 · DFW → RNO

departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 1:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RNO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.69 in

RNO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 324 · DFW → RNO

Odds over time

How late will it get to RNO?