Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3276 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AA 3276 · LAX → PHL

departs 10:46 PM PT · arrives 7:00 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at PHL that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3276 · LAX → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?