Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 358 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 358 · CLT → SNA

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SNA that day

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 358 · CLT → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?