AA 363 · MIA → CLE

departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 11:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.82 in

CLE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9.42857 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 363 · MIA → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?