Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 381SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 381 · SEA → CLT
departs 5:10 AM PT · arrives 1:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
6%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.