AA 413 · DFW → SAT

departs 10:35 AM CT · arrives 11:55 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.93 in

SAT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 413 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?