Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 461SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 461 · MCO → CLT
departs 6:15 AM ET · arrives 8:04 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
3%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.