tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 502 SCHEDULED

AA 502 · MEX → PHX

departs 3:46 PM CST · arrives 6:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.