Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 58 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AA 58 · KOA → LAX

departs 3:36 PM HT · arrives 11:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ KOA usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 58 · KOA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?