tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 647 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 647 · MIA → SDF

departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 11:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
58% chance · ±4 pts +19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SDF?

  1. On time or early
    41%
  2. 15–30 min late
    23%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    13%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    8%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.