Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 669 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 669 · MIA → LAX

departs 10:20 PM ET · arrives 12:48 AM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MIA that day

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.63 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 669 · MIA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?