AA 670 · MIA → MCI

departs 9:45 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.06 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.63 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 670 · MIA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?