Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 949SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 949 · JAX → DCA
departs 11:49 AM ET · arrives 1:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.