Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1082 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AS 1082 · HNL → ITO

departs 3:21 PM HT · arrives 4:15 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ITO?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ ITO is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

ITO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1082 · HNL → ITO

Odds over time

How late will it get to ITO?