Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AS 213 · LIH → SEA

departs 10:28 PM HT · arrives 7:12 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1.46429 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 10pm departures from LIH are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.09 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 213 · LIH → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?