tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 500 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 500 · SEA → IND

departs 9:09 AM PT · arrives 4:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IND?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.