Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 500
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 500 · SEA → IND
departs 9:09 AM PT · arrives 4:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to IND?
-
On time or early
72%
-
15–30 min late
14%
-
30 min–1 hour late
8%
-
1–2 hours late
3%
-
Over 2 hours late
2%
-
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.