Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 502SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 502 · SEA → LAX
departs 12:38 PM PT · arrives 3:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.