Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 533SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 533 · SEA → OAK
departs 7:12 AM PT · arrives 9:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.