Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 612SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 612 · SEA → LAS
departs 7:48 AM PT · arrives 10:29 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.