Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 1038 · BQN → JFK
departs 7:35 PM AT · arrives 11:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 36%
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BQN usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.57 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.