Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1038 · BQN → JFK
departs 7:35 PM AT · arrives 11:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.