Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1246
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 1246 · FLL → RIC
departs 9:09 AM ET · arrives 11:27 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 15%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.72 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.