Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1246 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

B6 1246 · FLL → RIC

departs 9:09 AM ET · arrives 11:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

RIC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1246 · FLL → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?