Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 126 · TPA → JFK
departs 6:13 AM ET · arrives 9:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from TPA are usually not late
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.32 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,167 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.