Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 126 · TPA → JFK
departs 6:13 AM ET · arrives 9:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from TPA are usually not late
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.