Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 1501 · JFK → FLL
departs 5:43 PM ET · arrives 9:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 31%
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 36%
Fri 10/9 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.