Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 1501 · JFK → FLL
departs 3:59 PM ET · arrives 7:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 5,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.