Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 1516 · JFK → SYR
departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
SYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SYR (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.