Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1537
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 1537 · BDL → MCO
departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 7:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 9/30 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.