Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1537 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

B6 1537 · BDL → MCO

departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 8:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1537 · BDL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?