Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
B6 1574 · LAX → EWR
departs 8:33 PM PT · arrives 5:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 34%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.