Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1719
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
B6 1719 · RIC → SJU
departs 4:19 PM ET · arrives 8:00 PM AT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Sat 10/3 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.