Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1833
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 1833 · BOS → SFO
departs 9:50 AM ET · arrives 1:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 1 mi
Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.