Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 185
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 185 · JFK → RDU
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 10:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 34%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.