Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 195
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 195 · HPN → MCO
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.