Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 2286 · RDU → JFK
departs 5:44 PM ET · arrives 7:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 46%
Sun 10/4 64%
Mon 10/5 42%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.