Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 2286 · RDU → JFK
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.15 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.