Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
B6 2286 · RDU → JFK
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 46%
Sun 10/4 64%
Mon 10/5 42%
Fri 10/9 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.