Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 228 · SJU → MCO
departs 6:48 PM AT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 3,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 5,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.