Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 2473 · JFK → CHS
departs 4:54 PM ET · arrives 7:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,167 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
CHS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.