Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2473
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 2473 · JFK → CHS
departs 4:54 PM ET · arrives 7:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at CHS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
CHS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
CHS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.