Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 2490 · SJU → EWR
departs 9:30 PM AT · arrives 1:32 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.