Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2785
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 2785 · JFK → RDU
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,167 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.