Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 283
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 283 · JFK → MCO
departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 9:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 35%
Tue 10/6 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.