Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2875
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 2875 · MCO → PVD
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PVD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
PVD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.